Antonius vs Mustafov

Triton Poker Cyprus, Event 1, 2022 · Three-Handed

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Three players left in Cyprus

The Hand

J♥2♥Antoniusabout 6.8M
10♥8♣MustafovCoversD
Blinds 200K / 400K, ante 400K
7♥2♣6♣Pot 2.2M
7♥2♣6♣Q♥Pot 3.6M
7♥2♣6♣Q♥A♦Pot 6.4M

Fahredin Mustafov and Patrik Antonius. Blinds 200K / 400K, ante 400K.

Before the Flop

  • Blinds 200K and 400K. Mustafov has the button.
  • Mustafov raises to 800K.
  • O’Dwyer folds.
  • Antonius calls.

The Flop

  • Antonius checks.
  • Mustafov bets 700K.
  • Antonius calls.

The Turn

  • Antonius checks.
  • Mustafov bets 1.4M.
  • Antonius calls. Why

    Antonius. A small pair plus a flush draw is too much to fold to a button that bets wide. Calling keeps the bluffs in and keeps his tournament alive; an all-in raise folds the worse hands and gets called by better.

The River

Play Antonius vs Mustafov, decision by decision

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The river

The Famous Decision

Antonius. The ace is the perfect scare card for a chip leader to bluff with. Many of the button’s bets were draws that all missed, and bottom pair beats almost all of them.

Antonius called, and his pair of deuces beat the bluff.

The Result

Antonius wins at the showdown with Pair of Twos.

Why It Is Famous

Patrik Antonius called the chip leader’s river all in with bottom pair, after about six minutes, three-handed. He went on to win the event, his first Triton title.

What to Take from It

The price says how often you must be right to break even. An ace that misses every draw is a classic bluffing card, so, even without seeing his cards, bottom pair was close.

Sources

What the sources do not say. All the sizes come from one report. The cards and the call are confirmed by others. The exact date is not documented. One report says Antonius called with "jack-high", but the deuce on the board gave him a pair. Only Mustafov, Antonius and the small blind are at the table for this hand; stacks other than the river call are not documented.

Make both decisions, then see what really happened

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