Hand of the Day, 24 Oct 2026

Saturday, 24 October 2026. Hand of the Day number 13. Difficulty 6 of 7: the week gets harder from Monday to Sunday.

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KimRegularSaturday

Kim never shows a card until the end: you have the betting and the board to go on.

  1. PreflopRaise to 5 big blinds
  2. Flop10♥Q♥J♦Bet 2/3 pot
  3. Turn10♥Q♥J♦4♥Bet 2/3 pot
  4. River10♥Q♥J♦4♥2♥Bet pot

Which hand does Kim most likely have?

Show the answer

Most likely: Flush

54of 155 combos are flush
155combos left after Kim’s betting
A flushwhat Kim held

Flush is the biggest slice of the range by weight: about 4.5 of its 54 combos play this line. Kim had A♦ K♥: a flush, just as the odds said.

Kim held A♦K♥

The working
  1. Range. Kim’s line leaves 155 combos, about 9.3 by weight of 1,326 155 of 1,326 combos
  2. Flush. 54 combos, about 4.5 by weight 54 of 155 combos
  3. Straight. 12 combos, about 2.2 by weight 12 of 155 combos
  4. Set. 10 combos, about 1.8 by weight 10 of 155 combos
  5. Top pair, top kicker. 9 combos, about 0.3 by weight 9 of 155 combos
  6. A jack, a ten, a four or a pocket pair. 42 combos, about 0.2 by weight 42 of 155 combos
  7. Overpair. 6 combos, about 0.1 by weight 6 of 155 combos
  8. Top pair, good kicker. 9 combos, about 0.1 by weight 9 of 155 combos
  9. Two pair. 7 combos, about 0.1 by weight 7 of 155 combos
  10. Air. 6 combos, about 0 by weight 6 of 155 combos
  11. By weight. Hands taken only some of the time count at part weight, so the biggest slice is the one with the most weight.
  12. By kind. Value 91%, pairs 9%, draws and bluffs 0%. The kind of hand is the read that matters most; the biggest slice is the detail.
  13. Showdown. Kim had A♦ K♥: Flush, 54 combos of the 155 A♦K♥

Then decide: call or fold?

Kim bets 60 into 60. Call or fold? Amounts are in big blinds.

The river10♥Q♥J♦4♥2♥
Your hand9♥3♠
60the pot
60Kim’s bet
60to call
Show the answer

Calling is right

Kim’s range, from the read: 150 combos. 71 sets and better · 7 two pair · 24 overpairs and top pair · 48 more

33%the price: what you need
62%your chance against that range

The price was right. You needed 33%, and against what Kim likely holds you win 62%. You win this pot more often than not, and the price is in your favour too.

The working
  1. The price. You call 60 to win 120 (the 60 in the pot and Kim’s 60). That is 60 ÷ (120 + 60) = 33%. To break even you need to win at least that often (pot odds). 60 to call into 120: 33%
  2. Your chance. After the read, 150 combos are left in Kim’s range. Counting every card that can still come, you win 62% of the time (ties count half; equity). 9♥3♠ 62%
  3. The comparison. 62% is more than 33%, so calling wins more than it costs over many hands like this one. 62% × 120 − 38% × 60 = +50.9 big blinds per call, on average.

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